Our Thesis

SaaS is Dead.Here's What Comes Next.

The $2 trillion software correction isn't a blip. It's the market catching up to a fundamental shift: AI made custom software cheaper and faster than renting someone else's.

The Numbers Don't Lie

This isn't speculation. The market is already repricing the entire SaaS model. Here's what's happening right now.

$2T

Wiped from software stocks

Since early 2026, the market has erased trillions in SaaS valuations as investors recalculate what software companies are actually worth in an AI-native world.

$285B

Erased in 48 hours

In February 2026, SaaS valuations shed $285 billion in just two days. Not a correction — a repricing of the entire category.

35%

Already replaced a SaaS tool

Over a third of enterprises have already swapped at least one SaaS subscription for a custom-built solution. The migration has started.

60%

Drop in SaaS funding

Traditional B2B SaaS funding has fallen 60% year-over-year. Investors see the writing on the wall.

78%

Plan to build more custom tools in 2026

Nearly four out of five companies expect to build more custom internal tools this year. The shift from “buy” to “build” is accelerating.

The Hidden Cost of SaaS

The subscription fee is the number on the invoice. It's not the actual cost. The real price of SaaS is everything you don't see.

Paying for features you'll never use

Most teams use 20–30% of a SaaS product's features. You're subsidizing a product roadmap built for everyone, optimized for no one.

Building workarounds in spreadsheets

The software can't do what you need, so you export to Excel, massage the data, and paste it somewhere else. Every week. This is not a workflow — it's a tax.

Training your team on rigid interfaces

Your people learn to work the way the software demands, not the way your business actually operates. You adapt to the tool instead of the tool adapting to you.

Locked into a vendor's roadmap

If they pivot, you're stuck. If they get acquired, you're stuck. If they raise prices 40% because they can, you're stuck. Your business-critical operations depend on someone else's priorities.

The invisible infrastructure

Spreadsheets, CSV exports, manual reconciliation, copy-paste between tabs — spread across teams, undocumented, and fragile. This is the real “tech stack” of most businesses. It's not in any vendor's dashboard. And it breaks constantly.

Why the Math Changed

Custom software used to be a luxury. Long timelines, expensive teams, projects that ballooned in scope. AI changed all of that. The economics of “build vs. buy” have flipped.

The New Cost Equation

Annual SaaS cost vs. one-time custom build

SolutionSaaS CostCustom BuildYear 1 Savings
Project Management
Task tracking, reporting, team workflows
$74K/year$32K one-time$42K
Loyalty & Rewards
Points engine, member tiers, redemption
$120K/year$90K one-time$30K
Recruitment Platform
ATS, candidate scoring, pipeline
$42K/year$35K one-time$7K

And the custom build keeps paying for itself. Year 2 SaaS cost: the same. Year 2 custom cost: hosting and maintenance only.

What made custom development expensive was long translation cycles, large requirements documents, repeated alignment, and handoffs. With AI-accelerated development, this friction is gone. The gap between “what you described” and “what gets built” has collapsed.

“The market size for vertical AI agents will be ten times that of SaaS.”

Y Combinator

“AI doesn't replace software. It replaces the need for it, because it directly does the work.”

NFX

“The barriers to entry for creating software are so low now thanks to coding agents that the build versus buy decision is shifting toward build.”

IDC

Own Your Business Logic

When you build custom, you own the result. No dependencies on a vendor's survival, no surprise invoices, no begging for features on a public roadmap.

No vendor lock-in

Your code, your data, your rules. Switch providers, change hosting, or bring development in-house whenever you want.

No surprise price increases

Your costs are predictable. No email announcing a 40% price hike because a vendor decided to “move upmarket.”

No praying they don't pivot

Vendors get acquired, pivot to enterprise, or shut down. When you own the code, their decisions don't become your emergencies.

Your data stays yours

No wondering who else can see your customer data. No export limits. No data held hostage if you decide to leave.

Modify, extend, or hand off to anyone

Need a new feature? Add it. Want a different team to take over? Hand them the codebase. Custom software is an asset you own, not a subscription you rent. It compounds in value instead of draining your budget.

Ready to build instead of rent?

Tell us what your business actually needs. We'll show you what it looks like when software is built around your workflow — not the other way around.